Oh those NFL referees! Because of them, bettors lost approx 65 million in winnings, and my picks went from 10-6 to 9-7. Nine wins still isn’t too bad but 10 would have been great. I will have to factor in terrible officiating from here on out due to the travesty in Pittsburg. What else did we learn from week 10? Let’s take a look:
The Eagles are terrible. They have an overrated coach. An overrated (and flat out stupid) QB. What’s that Donovan? You didn’t know a game could end in a tie? How long have you been playing this sport? Pathetic.
San Francisco is putting a lot of energy out there on the field. Win or not, they don’t want to see Coach Mike’s fat ass.
Why on earth did the Jets corners back off Moss on the last play of regulation? All day they where hitting Moss in the mouth and jamming him at the line. Then the game is in the balance and you let one of the best WR in the game to run free? Uh…What?!
The NFL refs will single handedly blow the outcome of one or more games each week.
Now, moving on to week 11.
THURSDAY NIGHT
STEELERS (-10.5) vs. Bengals
The Pick: Cincy always comes to play vs. the Steelers. They have lost some close games this year and battled good teams to the end. I don’t think they have the fire power to win this week but I expect them to cover a big spread. You don’t know what you will get from Big Ben. Take the Bengals away from home this week.
SUNDAY
Giants (-3) vs. CARDINALS
The Pick: Yes Arizona has a crazy passing attack. And yes Warner is a leading MVP candidate (with Brees) this year. But it will be hard for him to score while standing on the sidelines. The Giants put up 207 rushing yards vs. the best rushing defense last week. I predict another 200+ yard game vs. a weaker Arizona defense (even if Brandon “Earth” Jacobs sits out this week). The Giants can rush 4 and still get to Warner which will help them defend the pass, and Kurt still holds onto the ball a bit long. Until someone stops this vaunted rushing attack bet the Giants.
TITANS (-5) vs. Jets
The Pick: Each week this Jets team is gaining more and more confident. I honestly thought they would loose last week in overtime, even after they won the coin flip. The overtime drive showed what having a great QB and leader can do. The Titans are 10-0 and deserve that record, but I still am not sold on them being the best team in the NFL. Too many times they just squeak by lesser opponents. Jenkins is a man-child in the middle and can disrupt the pass or the run. They have to loose someday and this is as good a week as ever. Take the Jets.
BROWNS (-3) vs. Texans
The Pick: With each week I watch Quinn play the more I think this kid will be a star. Has the Arm strength and the brains to go along with it. Romeo should have switched to him earlier as there is no doubt he is their QB of the future. The Texans have fallen on hard times coming close in many games but not being able to finish it off. They wont this week either. Take the Browns.
Bills (-3) vs. CHIEFS
The Pick: I bet Buffalo is nauseas this week. Not only do they loose on a 56 yard field goal, they have to then listen to “Wide Right” for an entire week. Scott Norwood where are you? When your QB throws 3 picks in the 1st quarter and you only give up 3 points you have to eventually win that game. That being said, they will cover against the Chiefs. The overall talent just isn’t there. Circle the wagons and take the Bills.
DOLPHINS (-2) vs. Patriots
The Pick: Think Bill Belicheat will be unprepared for the Wildcat offense? I don’t think so. Cassel is playing well and the Pats will be pissed they lost by such a large margin in their first meeting. I think the Wildcat offense gets stopped here. Take the Pats down in Miami.
COWBOYS (-10.5) vs. 49ers
The Pick: The ‘Boys didn’t show me much last week (either did the Skins). Romo looked like a guy who hadn’t played in 4 weeks and the rust will still be there. Roy Williams has done nothing since coming over, but Bam Bam Barber can run with anyone. Boys will get up early on the 9ers and Bam Bam will run the rest of the clock out. But it wont be by 10 ½ points. The 9ers are playing an energized game since witnessing a full moon. They will be competitive and keep it close. Take the 9ers to cover in the loss.
Buccaneers (-8.5) vs. LIONS
The Pick: Detroit is now in the “hey we have a chance at the first pick” mode. I have a feeling players will start quitting (haven’t they already?) if they get down early. The Bucs will be without their starting RB but Dunn is more than capable of running against the joke of the jungle. Take the Bucs.
RAVENS (-1.5) vs. Eagles
The Pick: I would not want to be McNabb or Westbrook in this game. The Ravens are pissed and they will let the Eagles know it. Ray Lewis may kill someone (a good friend once said after seeing Ray Lewis do his dance prior to their Super Bowl win, “He DEFENITLY killed that guy”). Also, the Eagles are just a poorly coached team. Bad decisions by Reid have littered their last two games. HOW DO YOU TIE THE BENGALS??? Take the Ravens at home and I don’t think it will be close.
**SIDE BET** Over/Under on the Ravens’ D injuring someone is at 2 quarters. Take the under. It will probably be on the first series.
Bears (-8.5) vs. RAMS
The Pick: I have no idea how this line is 8.5. Oh wait, yes I do, the Rams are TERRIBLE. The 49ers blew them out and it could have been even more lopsided. The Rams D makes every offense they play look like the Pats O from last year. Take the Bears here on the road.
JAGUARS (-2.5) vs. Vikings
The Pick: Is there a more disappointing team in the NFL this year. Many “experts” picked the Jags to go to the AFC Championship game or more. Problem is they also picked the Vikings to do the same in the NFC. Pick the Vikings to win outright as they are the better of the overrated teams.
FALCONS (-1) vs. Panthers
The Pick: As much as I think Matty Ice is going to be a Pro-bowler, fact is, he is still a rookie and the Panthers have a good D. However, the Panthers really haven’t beaten anyone of note yet. This is a tough pick (as noted by the 1 point spread) so I will go with experience over talent. Take the Panthers but take the over too.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders
The Pick: Is there a more inconsistent team in the NFL right now than the Wild Horses? One week they look like legit SB contenders. The next, they look as bad as, well, the Raiders. Even at home I think 9.5 points is too much. Take the Raiders.
Redskins (-3.5) vs. SEAHAWKS
The Pick: The Skins must be sighing in relief that the get to play the Seagulls this week. After a few weeks of lackluster performances the Redskins will come alive against a poor poor team. Mike Holmgren is a “dead man walking” and his team knows it. Take the Skins.
CHARGERS (-3) vs. Colts
The Pick: LT isn’t what he once was. And either is Rivers. Peyton is. Nuff said. Take the Colts.
MONDAY NIGHT
SAINTS (-2.5) vs. Packers
The Pick: This should be a great Monday night game. Ryan Grant is running on all cylinders. The Pack defense is score points at a rapid rate too. But the Saints are Aints no more. They have the leading MVP contender in Brees. Three good WRs. And a workable running game. Take the Saints at home and be sure to watch. This should be an exciting game.
HOME TEAMS IN CAPS
Spread taken from NY Post 11/19/08
9 comments:
ok mr. nfl guru i dont know about that broncos pick but we will see. i have a question about my fantasy football team, lets see if your magic works for this too. Do i start trent edwards vs. the chiefs, thigpen vs. the toronto bills or garrard vs. the purple people eaters. i'll even give you a chance for redemption in case you screw up my qb pick- i'm not sure who to start in this flex spot. Run D.M.C. coming off the injury but getting carries, mushin muhammed, mewelde moore, or pierre thomas (i'll only consider him if reggie bush is def not playing)
please tell me you aren't going to set your lineup according to the poor mans swami
Don't listen to Chris. Why are you carrying 3 QB's anyway. All of them are so close you should drop one and pick up another skilled position. That being said I would go with Thigpen. He will be at home and has put up 20+ points the last 4 weeks in a row. Couple that with Edwards coming off of a 3 pick game and Garrard being inconsistent, I think you have to start Tyler. I would stay away from Mush Muhammed this week at all cost. I would go with DMC. They are giving him the rock and the possibility for him to do well is better, i think, than moore and thomas.
my qb situation was all screwed up. i drafted jon kitna as my starter cause hes not a bad fantasy quarterback, but that only worked out for a little. trent edwards was my backup so he got promoted when jon kitna got put on IR, but trent is definitely not a good fantasy qb, so i pulled off a trade for david garrard (for my backup tight-end). i've been playing garrard and edwards has been playing terrible so i picked up thigpen from free agents. i have one open roster space (pierre thomas) so if edwards blows again this week, hes the one to go. im going to have to agree with you on run dmc- the other guys i have are way too unreliable. we will see. good thing i clinched a playoff spot already.
so basically you are as bad a GM if not worse then JP is as a BLOGGER...FACT
Who are you going with for your QB?
basically im 8-3 and i clinched a playoff spot already andd i'm pretty sure that jp is up for rookie blogger of the year. anyways im def going with run dmc in my flex unless reggie bush is definitely out and pierre thomas is named starter- which will not happen. as for my qb, im leaning towards thigpen, but it is really tough to start a 3rd sting qb from one of the worst teams in the entire nfl.
Look at the numbers he has been putting up the last 4 weeks. Not too bad.
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